tasq/node_modules/agentdb/simulation/scenarios/README-basic/causal-reasoning.md

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# Causal Reasoning Simulation
## Overview
Causal relationship analysis with intervention-based reasoning, testing cause-effect hypotheses through graph-based causal edges.
## Purpose
Model causal inference using directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) and measure intervention effects (uplift).
## Operations
- **Causal Pairs**: 10-15 cause-effect relationships
- **Uplift Measurement**: Quantify causal impact
- **Confidence Scoring**: Bayesian confidence intervals
- **Intervention Analysis**: Counterfactual reasoning
## Results
- **Throughput**: 3.13 ops/sec
- **Latency**: 308ms avg
- **Causal Edges**: 3 per iteration
- **Avg Uplift**: 10-13%
- **Avg Confidence**: 92%
## Technical Details
```typescript
await causal.addCausalEdge({
fromMemoryId: causeId,
toMemoryId: effectId,
uplift: 0.12, // 12% improvement
confidence: 0.95,
mechanism: 'implement_caching → reduce_latency'
});
```
## Applications
- A/B testing analysis
- Root cause analysis
- Treatment effect estimation
- Policy evaluation
**Status**: ✅ Operational